Mulhouse v Thonon Évian: the model read
Mulhouse meet Thonon Évian in the National 3 - Group F group f - 17 at Stade de l'Ill, Mulhouse. The model makes Thonon Évian the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 31% MUL, 30% draw, 39% THO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Thonon Évian, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors Mulhouse on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Thonon Évian at 55%; double chance reads Mulhouse or draw 61%, Thonon Évian or draw 69%.
Mulhouse arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Sochaux II, L 0-5 @ Troyes II, L 1-2 v Belfort, D 0-0 @ Thaon.
Thonon Évian are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Jura Dolois, W 1-0 @ Racing Besançon, W 2-0 v Sochaux II, D 2-2 @ Troyes II.
Mulhouse hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mulhouse 2-2 Thonon Évian.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
