La Roche VF v Montlouis: the model read
La Roche VF meet Montlouis in the National 2 - Group A group a - 18 at Stade Henri Desgrange, La Roche-sur-Yon. The model makes La Roche VF the most likely outcome at 54%, with the full read 54% LA , 26% draw, 20% MON.
La Roche VF rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1431. Recent form leans La Roche VF, 80% against 43%. Attacking output favors La Roche VF on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans La Roche VF at 73%; double chance reads La Roche VF or draw 80%, Montlouis or draw 46%.
La Roche VF arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Nantes, W 3-2 @ Le Mans, W 2-0 @ Saint-Colomban Locminé, W 4-1 v Chauray.
Montlouis are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Saint-Malo, D 0-0 @ Saumur, D 1-1 v Châteaubriant, L 1-4 @ Bordeaux.
La Roche VF hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: La Roche VF 2-1 Montlouis.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
