Fréjus St-Raphaël v Grasse: the model read
Fréjus St-Raphaël meet Grasse in the National 2 - Group C group c - 30 at Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël. The model makes Grasse the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 29% FRÉ, 30% draw, 41% GRA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Grasse, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Grasse on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Grasse at 58%; double chance reads Fréjus St-Raphaël or draw 59%, Grasse or draw 71%.
Fréjus St-Raphaël arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Grasse, L 0-1 @ Bobigny, L 0-1 v Toulon, D 0-0 v Saint-Priest.
Grasse are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Fréjus St-Raphaël, L 1-2 v Rumilly Vallières, W 3-1 @ Limonest, D 2-2 v Istres.
Fréjus St-Raphaël hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-0 Grasse.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
