Trofense v Sanjoanense: the model read
Trofense meet Sanjoanense in the Liga 3 regular season - 7 at Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa. The model makes Trofense the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% TRO, 33% draw, 30% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Trofense, 38% against 20%. Attacking output favors Sanjoanense on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Trofense at 56%; double chance reads Trofense or draw 70%, Sanjoanense or draw 63%.
Trofense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Academica, D 1-1 v Guimaraes B, D 0-0 v Amarante, L 0-1 @ Mafra.
Sanjoanense are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Fafe, L 0-3 v Felgueiras 1932, L 1-2 @ São João Ver, W 1-0 v Paredes.
Trofense hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sanjoanense 2-4 Trofense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
