Orleans v Rouen: the model read
Orleans meet Rouen in the National 1 regular season - 23 at Stade de la Source, Orléans. The model makes Orleans the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% ORL, 32% draw, 30% ROU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1547 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Orleans, 58% against 47%. Attacking output favors Orleans on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Orleans at 56%; double chance reads Orleans or draw 70%, Rouen or draw 62%.
Orleans arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ RED Star FC 93, W 1-0 v Gobelins, L 0-1 @ Clermont Foot, L 2-3 @ Dijon.
Rouen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Boulogne, L 0-1 @ Laval, D 1-1 v Laval, W 2-1 @ Fleury 91.
Rouen hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orleans 1-1 Rouen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
