Tepatitlán v Cancún: the model read
Tepatitlán meet Cancún in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 12 at Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos. The model makes Tepatitlán the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% TEP, 32% draw, 30% CAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 55%. Attacking output favors Cancún on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Tepatitlán at 56%; double chance reads Tepatitlán or draw 70%, Cancún or draw 62%.
Tepatitlán arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Durango, L 0-2 @ CDS Tampico Madero, W 3-1 v CDS Tampico Madero, W 1-0 v CDS Tampico Madero.
Cancún are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v U.N.A.M. - Pumas, W 1-0 v Toluca, L 1-4 v Monterrey, D 1-1 v CDS Tampico Madero.
Cancún hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cancún 2-2 Tepatitlán.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
