FC St. Pauli v Werder Bremen: the model read
FC St. Pauli meet Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga regular season - 23 at Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg. The model makes Werder Bremen the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 34% FC , 29% draw, 37% WER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 38%. Attacking output favors FC St. Pauli on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Werder Bremen at 52%; double chance reads FC St. Pauli or draw 63%, Werder Bremen or draw 66%.
FC St. Pauli arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 16 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v HNK Gorica, W 4-1 @ SV Babelsberg 03, W 3-1 @ Kickers Emden, W 6-2 @ Altona 93.
Werder Bremen are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Fagiano Okayama, W 6-2 @ Verden 04, L 0-2 v Borussia Dortmund, L 0-1 @ 1899 Hoffenheim.
Werder Bremen hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC St. Pauli 2-1 Werder Bremen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
