Bayer Leverkusen v FC St. Pauli: the model read
Bayer Leverkusen meet FC St. Pauli in the Bundesliga regular season - 22 at BayArena, Leverkusen. The model makes Bayer Leverkusen the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% BAY, 27% draw, 26% FC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bayer Leverkusen, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Bayer Leverkusen on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Bayer Leverkusen at 64%; double chance reads Bayer Leverkusen or draw 74%, FC St. Pauli or draw 54%.
Bayer Leverkusen arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 15 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ SF Baumberg, D 1-1 v Hamburger SV, L 1-3 @ VfB Stuttgart, W 4-1 v RB Leipzig.
FC St. Pauli are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 16 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v HNK Gorica, W 4-1 @ SV Babelsberg 03, W 3-1 @ Kickers Emden, W 6-2 @ Altona 93.
Bayer Leverkusen hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 FC St. Pauli.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
