Nantes v Toulouse: the model read
Nantes meet Toulouse in the Ligue 1 regular season - 34 at Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Toulouse, 39% against 29%. Attacking output favors Toulouse on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Nantes arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 11 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Guingamp, L 2-5 v Rodez, L 1-2 @ Laval, L 0-1 v RED Star FC 93.
Toulouse are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Stade Brestois 29, L 0-2 v Lyon, L 1-2 v Hamburger SV, W 2-1 v Real Sociedad.
Toulouse hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Toulouse 2-2 Nantes.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
