Emmen v Jong Utrecht: the model read
Emmen meet Jong Utrecht in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 26 at De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen. The model makes Jong Utrecht the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 29% EMM, 28% draw, 43% JON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 33% against 40%. Attacking output favors Jong Utrecht on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans Jong Utrecht at 59%; double chance reads Emmen or draw 57%, Jong Utrecht or draw 71%.
Emmen arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Heracles, L 2-3 @ Groningen, W 1-0 v De Graafschap, D 2-2 @ Roda.
Jong Utrecht are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Werder Bremen II, W 2-0 @ Jong Ajax, D 1-1 @ Den Bosch, W 3-0 v FC Eindhoven.
Emmen hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Emmen 1-0 Jong Utrecht.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
