AZ Alkmaar v NAC Breda: the model read
AZ Alkmaar meet NAC Breda in the Eredivisie regular season - 34 at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar. The model makes AZ Alkmaar the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 50% AZ , 27% draw, 24% NAC.
AZ Alkmaar rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1547 to 1408. Recent form leans AZ Alkmaar, 58% against 38%. Attacking output favors AZ Alkmaar on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans AZ Alkmaar at 68%; double chance reads AZ Alkmaar or draw 76%, NAC Breda or draw 50%.
AZ Alkmaar arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Zulte Waregem, L 0-1 v Anderlecht, W 2-1 v Almere City FC, D 3-3 v Gent.
NAC Breda are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Excelsior, W 2-1 @ Hoek, L 0-2 v FC Eindhoven, D 3-3 @ AZ Alkmaar.
AZ Alkmaar hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AZ Alkmaar 3-3 NAC Breda.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
