AZ Alkmaar v Heracles: the model read
AZ Alkmaar meet Heracles in the Eredivisie regular season - 27 at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar. The model makes AZ Alkmaar the most likely outcome at 57%, with the full read 57% AZ , 24% draw, 18% HER.
AZ Alkmaar rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1547 to 1400. Recent form leans AZ Alkmaar, 58% against 23%. Attacking output favors AZ Alkmaar on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans AZ Alkmaar at 76%; double chance reads AZ Alkmaar or draw 82%, Heracles or draw 43%.
AZ Alkmaar arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Zulte Waregem, L 0-1 v Anderlecht, W 2-1 v Almere City FC, D 3-3 v Gent.
Heracles are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Emmen, W 2-1 v Groningen, L 1-2 v Groningen, L 0-3 @ Telstar.
AZ Alkmaar hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AZ Alkmaar 4-0 Heracles.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
