Tempête v Capoise: the model read
Tempête meet Capoise in the Ligue Haïtienne championship round - 2 at Parc Résigné, Milot. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 28% TEM, 39% draw, 33% CAP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Capoise on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 12%, over 2.5 goals around 6%. Draw no bet leans Capoise at 55%; double chance reads Tempête or draw 67%, Capoise or draw 72%.
Tempête arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Capoise, L 0-2 @ Baltimore, W 3-0 v Triomphe Liancourt, D 0-0 v Baltimore.
Capoise are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Juventus, D 0-0 @ FICA, D 1-1 v FICA, W 3-0 @ Tempête.
Capoise hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Tempête 0-3 Capoise.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
