San Martin S.J. v Independiente: the model read
San Martin S.J. meet Independiente in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2nd phase - 13 at Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, San Juan. The model makes Independiente the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 30% SAN, 32% draw, 37% IND.
The baseline ratings are close, 1483 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Independiente, 60% against 47%. Attacking output favors Independiente on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Independiente at 55%; double chance reads San Martin S.J. or draw 63%, Independiente or draw 70%.
San Martin S.J. arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Club Atlético Güemes, L 0-1 v Chacarita Juniors, W 2-0 v Agropecuario, L 1-2 @ Gimnasia Jujuy.
Independiente are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Union Santa Fe, L 1-3 @ Rosario Central, W 2-1 @ San Lorenzo, L 0-2 @ Deportivo Riestra.
Independiente hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: San Martin S.J. 1-0 Independiente.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
