Worksop Town v Stockton Town: the model read
Worksop Town meet Stockton Town in the Non League Premier - Northern - Play-offs northern play-offs - final at Windsor Foodservice Stadium, Worksop, Nottinghamshire. The model makes Worksop Town the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% WOR, 28% draw, 28% STO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Worksop Town, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Worksop Town on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Worksop Town at 61%; double chance reads Worksop Town or draw 72%, Stockton Town or draw 56%.
Worksop Town arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 16 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Mickleover Sports, W 4-0 v Garforth Town, W 4-3 @ South Normanton Athletic, W 3-1 v Ilkeston Town.
Stockton Town are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Darlington 1883, L 0-2 @ Hednesford Town, W 2-1 @ Rylands, D 1-1 @ United of Manchester.
Worksop Town hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Worksop Town 2-1 Stockton Town.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
