Gaadiidka v Dekedaha: the model read
Gaadiidka meet Dekedaha in the Somali Premier League regular season - 22 at Muqdisho Stadium, Mogadishu. The model makes Dekedaha the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 31% GAA, 30% draw, 39% DEK.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dekedaha, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Dekedaha on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Dekedaha at 55%; double chance reads Gaadiidka or draw 61%, Dekedaha or draw 69%.
Gaadiidka arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Dekedaha, L 0-1 @ Badbaado, D 0-0 v Raadsan, W 2-1 v Jazeera.
Dekedaha are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Zamalek SC, L 0-6 v Zamalek SC, L 1-2 @ Al Zamala Umm Ruwaba, W 1-0 v Al Zamala Umm Ruwaba.
Dekedaha hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Gaadiidka 2-3 Dekedaha.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
