Burlington United v 865 Alliance: the model read
Burlington United meet 865 Alliance in the NPSL south - 10 at Macpherson Stadium, Greensboro, North Carolina.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans 865 Alliance, 35% against 10%. Attacking output favors 865 Alliance on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans 865 Alliance at 63%; double chance reads Burlington United or draw 55%, 865 Alliance or draw 74%.
Burlington United arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v 865 Alliance, L 0-4 @ Greenville United, L 1-3 v Bristol Rhythm, L 1-3 @ Appalachian.
865 Alliance are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 v Appalachian, D 0-0 @ Burlington United, W 2-1 v Port City NC, L 1-4 @ Hickory.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2025: Burlington United 0-0 865 Alliance.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output