Amarante v Sporting CP B: the model read
Amarante meet Sporting CP B in the Liga 3 promotion group - 7 at Estádio Municipal de Amarante, Amarante. The model makes Amarante the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% AMA, 32% draw, 23% SPO.
Amarante rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1400. Recent form leans Amarante, 74% against 25%. Attacking output favors Amarante on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Amarante at 66%; double chance reads Amarante or draw 77%, Sporting CP B or draw 55%.
Amarante arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Chaves, W 3-1 @ Guimaraes B, W 1-0 v União Santarém, D 0-0 @ Trofense.
Sporting CP B are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Farense, D 0-0 @ Academico Viseu, L 0-1 v FC Porto B, L 0-1 v Benfica B.
Sporting CP B hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Sporting CP B 2-0 Amarante.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
