Tampa Bay Rowdies v Miami FC: the model read
Tampa Bay Rowdies meet Miami FC in the USL League One Cup group stage - 2 at Al Lang Stadium, St. Petersburg, Florida.
Tampa Bay Rowdies rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1443. Recent form leans Tampa Bay Rowdies, 75% against 40%. Attacking output favors Tampa Bay Rowdies on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Tampa Bay Rowdies at 69%; double chance reads Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw 77%, Miami FC or draw 49%.
Tampa Bay Rowdies arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Detroit City, W 2-0 v Rhode Island, D 0-0 v Louisville City, W 3-0 @ Orange County SC.
Miami FC are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Charleston Battery, L 1-2 @ Hartford Athletic, L 1-2 @ San Antonio, L 0-1 v Las Vegas Lights.
Tampa Bay Rowdies hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Miami FC 2-3 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
