Palmeiras v Botafogo SP: the model read
Palmeiras meet Botafogo SP in the Paulista - A1 regular season - 11 at Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo. The model makes Palmeiras the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% PAL, 33% draw, 24% BOT.
Palmeiras rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1466. Recent form leans Palmeiras, 80% against 45%. Attacking output favors Palmeiras on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Palmeiras at 64%; double chance reads Palmeiras or draw 76%, Botafogo SP or draw 57%.
Palmeiras arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Chapecoense-sc, W 4-1 v Junior, W 3-0 @ Flamengo, L 0-1 v Cerro Porteno.
Botafogo SP are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Londrina, D 3-3 @ Sport Recife, W 3-1 v Avai, L 0-1 v CRB.
Palmeiras hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Botafogo SP 1-0 Palmeiras.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
