Santamarina v Kimberley Mar del Plata: the model read
Santamarina meet Kimberley Mar del Plata in the Torneo Federal A 2nd round - 5 at Estadio Municipal General San Martín de Tandil, Tandil, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The model makes Kimberley Mar del Plata the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 24% SAN, 37% draw, 39% KIM.
Kimberley Mar del Plata rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1420. Recent form leans Kimberley Mar del Plata, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Kimberley Mar del Plata on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 16%, over 2.5 goals around 12%. Draw no bet leans Kimberley Mar del Plata at 62%; double chance reads Santamarina or draw 61%, Kimberley Mar del Plata or draw 76%.
Santamarina arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 1 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Alvarado, L 0-1 @ Germinal de Rawson, L 0-2 v Villa Mitre, D 0-0 @ Circulo Deportivo.
Kimberley Mar del Plata are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Sol de Mayo, W 3-0 v Guillermo Brown, D 0-0 @ Olimpo Bahia Blanca, D 2-2 v Alvarado.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 5 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Santamarina 1-0 Kimberley Mar del Plata.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
