Estudiantes L.P. v Boca Juniors: the model read
Estudiantes L.P. meet Boca Juniors in the Copa de la Liga Profesional 1st phase - semi-finals at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 32% EST, 35% draw, 33% BOC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 65%. Attacking output favors Boca Juniors on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans Boca Juniors at 51%; double chance reads Estudiantes L.P. or draw 67%, Boca Juniors or draw 68%.
Estudiantes L.P. arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Independiente, W 3-0 v Rosario Central, W 1-0 v Independiente Medellin, L 0-1 @ Flamengo.
Boca Juniors are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Deportivo Riestra, W 1-0 v O'Higgins, W 2-0 @ Sarmiento Junin, W 1-0 v Atletico Paranaense.
Estudiantes L.P. hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Estudiantes L.P. 2-1 Boca Juniors.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
