Magenta v Pirae: the model read
Magenta meet Pirae in the OFC Champions League group stage - 3 at Stade Pater Te Hono Nui, Papeete.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors Magenta on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.2 per match.
Magenta arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Mulhouse, L 1-3 @ Derthona, L 0-1 @ Auckland City, W 2-1 @ Ifira Black Bird.
Pirae are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Carnoux, D 1-1 v Tiga Sport, W 1-0 @ Rewa, L 0-1 @ Auckland City.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2024: Magenta 0-0 Pirae.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
