Huracan edged Union Santa Fe 1-0 at the Estadio 15 de Abril in the Liga Profesional Argentina’s 2nd Phase round 18, a result that the numbers show was a study in efficiency over volume. Union Santa Fe dominated the shot count 18-6 and generated a higher expected goals figure of 1.42 to 0.88, yet found themselves undone by a single penalty deep into stoppage time. The Lemeister model had projected a narrow away win for Huracan, giving them a 35% chance compared to the home side's 33%, and the final scoreline aligned with that pre-match read.
The decisive moment arrived in the 101st minute. H. Fértoli stepped up to convert a penalty for Huracan, the only goal of the contest. The absence of an assister in the data confirms the opportunity stemmed from a set-piece or foul rather than open play. This solitary strike was enough to decide the match, as Union Santa Fe, despite their attacking volume, could not find a way past the visiting defence.
The underlying statistics paint a clear picture of how the match was won and lost. Union Santa Fe’s 18 total shots, including nine from inside the box, were effectively neutered. Their five shots on target were all saved, while the home goalkeeper had only one save to make across the full 90-plus minutes. Huracan were more direct with their six attempts, placing two on target, and their clinical finishing from the spot was the difference. Possession favoured the visitors, 57% to 43%, and their passing was marginally more accurate at 75% compared to Union’s 73%. The corner count was also weighted towards Huracan, who earned six to Union’s two.
In terms of individual contributions, the highest-rated player was Huracan goalkeeper Hernán Galíndez, who earned a 7.7 rating after making five saves. His performance was critical in keeping a clean sheet despite facing such a high volume of shots. For Union Santa Fe, defender Franco Pardo stood out with a 7.5 rating, while Joaquin Mosqueira also impressed with a 7.3. Huracan’s Fabio Pereyra matched that rating, underscoring a solid defensive display across the backline. Union goalkeeper Thiago Cardozo and midfielder Mauro Pittón both recorded 7.2 ratings, indicating a competent but ultimately unavailing home effort.
The match was not without its disciplinary moments. Huracan’s L. Souto was booked in the 7th minute, and F. Fattori followed in the 82nd, while Union Santa Fe finished the game without a single yellow card. The foul count reflects a more combative away side, committing 13 fouls to the home side's seven. Both teams completed five and four substitutions respectively, though no impact from those changes is recorded in the data.
For Union Santa Fe, this result is a frustrating one. They created enough chances to win on another evening but were ultimately punished for a lack of finishing edge and met a goalkeeper in inspired form. The loss leaves them with a difficult return from a game where the underlying numbers suggested they deserved more. Huracan, meanwhile, will take the three points and the clean sheet, a victory built on defensive organisation and efficiency in front of goal. In the context of the Liga Profesional Argentina’s second phase, every point is precious, and this away win gives Huracan a valuable boost.
