Balma v Montpellier II: the model read
Balma meet Montpellier II in the National 3 - Group H occitanie - 25 at Stade Nicolas Campailla, Balma.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Montpellier II, 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors Montpellier II on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Montpellier II at 51%; double chance reads Balma or draw 64%, Montpellier II or draw 66%.
Balma arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Beziers, L 0-1 v Montpellier II, W 5-4 @ Salinieres Aigues Mortes, W 2-1 v Castanet.
Montpellier II are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Lyon Duchere, L 0-3 v Olympique d'Alès, L 0-2 @ Olympique Marseille II, L 1-4 @ Olympique Lyonnais II.
Montpellier II hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Balma 0-1 Montpellier II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
