Where the market is wrong on Indonesia v Singapore
Indonesia meet Singapore in the FIFA Asean Cup division 1 - 1 at Gelora Bung Karno Stadium, Senayan.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1577, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 61%. Attacking output favors Indonesia on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Indonesia arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Singapore, D 1-1 @ Singapore, L 0-3 v Vietnam, W 3-0 @ Timor-Leste.
Singapore are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Indonesia, W 2-1 @ Thailand, L 1-3 v Thailand, D 1-1 v Indonesia.
The market prices IND at 80% implied. Our number sits apart on Singapore: a 28.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
