Where the market is wrong on Atenas v San Martin Formosa
Atenas meet San Martin Formosa in the Torneo Federal A quarter-finals at Estadio 9 de Julio, undefined.
San Martin Formosa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1523. Recent form leans San Martin Formosa, 73% against 53%. Attacking output favors San Martin Formosa on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.0 per match.
Atenas arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Huracan Las Heras, W 3-1 v Juventud Antoniana, L 2-3 @ Alvarado, W 1-0 v Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
San Martin Formosa are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Bartolomé Mitre, W 3-0 v Sarmiento de La Banda, L 0-1 @ Defensores de Belgrano VR, W 2-1 v 9 de Julio Rafaela.
San Martin Formosa hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atenas 0-1 San Martin Formosa.
The market prices ATE at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on San Martin Formosa: a 12.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
