Where the market is wrong on ASM Oran v WA Mostaganem
ASM Oran meet WA Mostaganem in the Ligue 2 regular season - 2.
ASM Oran rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1400. Recent form leans ASM Oran, 70% against 30%. Attacking output favors ASM Oran on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.
ASM Oran arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v WA Mostaganem, L 0-1 @ Usm El Harrach, W 4-1 @ CRB Adrar, L 0-1 v RC Kouba.
WA Mostaganem are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ ASM Oran, D 2-2 @ MC Saida, L 0-3 @ Usm El Harrach, L 1-2 v MC Saida.
WA Mostaganem hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: ASM Oran 3-1 WA Mostaganem.
The market prices ASM at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on WA Mostaganem: a 5.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
