Where the market is wrong on Atlético Nacional W v Deportivo Cali W
Atlético Nacional W meet Deportivo Cali W in the Liga Femenina semi-finals at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1707, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Deportivo Cali W, 78% against 65%. Attacking output favors Atlético Nacional W on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Atlético Nacional W arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Deportivo Cali W, W 3-1 v Internacional Palmira W, L 1-2 @ Millonarios W, W 1-0 v La Equidad W.
Deportivo Cali W are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 3 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Atlético Nacional W, L 0-1 v América de Cali W, D 0-0 @ Santa Fe W, W 1-0 v Orsomarso W.
The market prices ATL at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Cali W: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output