Where the market is wrong on Thailand W v Chinese Taipei W
Thailand W meet Chinese Taipei W in the Asian Games Women group stage - 2 at Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1611, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 61%. Attacking output favors Thailand W on expected goals, 3.0 to 1.7 per match.
Thailand W arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Chinese Taipei W, L 0-8 @ Japan W, D 1-1 @ Myanmar W, W 1-0 v Uzbekistan W.
Chinese Taipei W are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Thailand W, W 2-1 v Vietnam W, L 0-4 v Korea DPR W, L 0-2 @ China W.
The market prices THA at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Thailand W: a 26.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
