South Australia NPL · Final · Australia

Adelaide City v West Torrens Birkalla

2-2종료Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 AM ET· Adelaide City Park

경기 분석사전 경기 브리핑

Where the market is wrong on Adelaide City v West Torrens Birkalla

Adelaide City meet West Torrens Birkalla in the South Australia NPL final at Adelaide City Park, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1696 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Adelaide City, 78% against 65%. Attacking output favors West Torrens Birkalla on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.0 per match.

Adelaide City arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v West Torrens Birkalla, W 6-0 v Playford City Patriots, W 2-1 @ Playford City Patriots, W 3-0 @ FK Beograd.

West Torrens Birkalla are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Adelaide City, W 2-0 v MetroStars, D 2-2 @ MetroStars, W 2-1 v Adelaide United II.

The market prices ADE at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on West Torrens Birkalla: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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요금제 보기

Adelaide City

WWWWD13-5-2

득점 2.00 · 실점 0.65 · 무실점 경기 50% · 양 팀 득점 40%

D홈West Torrens Birkalla2-2
W홈Playford City Patriots6-0
W원정Playford City Patriots2-1
W원정FK Beograd3-0
W홈Playford City Patriots1-0

West Torrens Birkalla

WWDWD11-4-5

득점 2.30 · 실점 1.30 · 무실점 경기 30% · 양 팀 득점 55%

D원정Adelaide City2-2
W홈MetroStars2-0
D원정MetroStars2-2
W홈Adelaide United II2-1
W홈West Adelaide6-1

감독

P. Pezos

감독

2021년부터 지휘

원정 팀 감독 정보 없음.

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경기 리포트

Adelaide City and West Torrens Birkalla drew 2-2 at Adelaide City Park.

How it unfolded: 14' (WES), 37' (WES), 65' O. Western (ADE), 92' A. Kasumovic (ADE), 121' (ADE pen), 121' (WES pen), 122' (ADE pen), 123' (ADE pen), 123' (WES pen), 124' (ADE pen), 124' (WES pen), 125' (WES pen), 126' (ADE pen), 126' (WES pen), 127' (ADE pen).

The model leaned Adelaide City at 43% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 29%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Adelaide City 2-1 West Torrens Birkalla; the match finished 2-2.

Ledger entry: the published 4.3-point edge on West Torrens Birkalla did not land. Logged in the open, as every edge is.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output and real match data

경기 데이터

How it unfolded: 14' (WES), 37' (WES), 65' O. Western (ADE), 92' A. Kasumovic (ADE), 121' (ADE pen), 121' (WES pen), 122' (ADE pen), 123' (ADE pen), 123' (WES pen), 124' (ADE pen), 124' (WES pen), 125' (WES pen), 126' (ADE pen), 126' (WES pen), 127' (ADE pen).

모델이 어떻게 평가했는지

The model leaned Adelaide City at 43% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 29%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Adelaide City 2-1 West Torrens Birkalla; the match finished 2-2.

Ledger entry: the published 4.3-point edge on West Torrens Birkalla did not land. Logged in the open, as every edge is.

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Adelaide City v West Torrens Birkalla

Where the market is wrong on Adelaide City v West Torrens Birkalla

당신의 예측

Adelaide City

West Torrens Birkalla

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