Where the market is wrong on Kerkennah v M'saken
Kerkennah meet M'saken in the Ligue 2 regular season - 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kerkennah, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Kerkennah on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Kerkennah arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v M'saken, L 0-1 v Ksour Essef, W 5-0 v Kalaâ Sport, W 3-1 @ EM Mahdia.
M'saken are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Kerkennah, L 2-4 v CS Chebba, L 0-1 @ AS Agareb, L 1-3 v Sfax Railways.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kerkennah 1-2 M'saken.
The market prices KER at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on M'saken: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output