União Santarém v Merelinense: the model read
União Santarém meet Merelinense in the Taça de Portugal round of 128.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Merelinense, 48% against 30%. Attacking output favors Merelinense on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
União Santarém arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Caldas, L 0-5 @ CF Os Belenenses, D 1-1 v Oliveirense, L 0-2 @ SC Covilha.
Merelinense are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Atlético Arcos, W 1-0 v Tirsense, D 1-1 @ Vilar de Perdizes, W 2-1 v Monção.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
