Where the market is wrong on Atlético Tembetary v Sportivo Carapeguá
Atlético Tembetary meet Sportivo Carapeguá in the Division Intermedia regular season - 24.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Atlético Tembetary on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Atlético Tembetary arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Sportivo Carapeguá, D 1-1 @ 12 de Junio VH, L 0-2 v Encarnación, W 4-3 @ Deportivo Santani.
Sportivo Carapeguá are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Atlético Tembetary, W 2-0 v Benjamín Aceval, L 2-3 v Paraguari AC, W 1-0 @ 12 de Junio VH.
The market prices ATL at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Sportivo Carapeguá: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
