Where the market is wrong on Al Musannah v Al-Shabab
Al Musannah meet Al-Shabab in the FA Cup group stage - 3.
Al-Shabab rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1408. Recent form leans Al-Shabab, 63% against 38%. Attacking output favors Al-Shabab on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.8 per match.
Al Musannah arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Saham, L 0-1 v Al-Shabab, L 0-2 @ Al Nasr, L 0-1 v Oman Club.
Al-Shabab are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Al Musannah, W 2-0 @ Oman Club, L 2-3 v Al-Nahda, W 3-2 @ Sur.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Musannah 0-1 Al-Shabab.
The market prices AL at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on Al Musannah: a 6.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output