Naft Maysan v Newroz: the model read
Naft Maysan meet Newroz in the Iraqi League regular season - 5 at Maysan Olympic Stadium, Amarah.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 53%. Attacking output favors Newroz on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Naft Maysan arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Newroz, D 1-1 @ Al Quwa Al Jawiya, L 0-4 @ Al Zawra'a, D 0-0 v Naft.
Newroz are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Naft Maysan, D 0-0 v Duhok, L 0-1 @ Al Talaba, L 0-1 @ Gharraf.
The market prices NAF at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
