Where the market is wrong on Gintra-Universitetas W v Sturm Graz W
Gintra-Universitetas W meet Sturm Graz W in the UEFA Europa Cup - Women 1st qualifying round - semi-finals at Siauliai central stadium, undefined.
Sturm Graz W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1443. Recent form leans Sturm Graz W, 68% against 38%. Attacking output favors Sturm Graz W on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.4 per match.
Gintra-Universitetas W arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 v Sturm Graz W, L 1-2 @ Sturm Graz W, W 4-1 v Riga W, L 1-2 v Hearts W.
Sturm Graz W are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-3 @ Gintra-Universitetas W, W 3-1 v Südburgenland W, W 2-1 v Gintra-Universitetas W, D 1-1 @ First Vienna W.
Sturm Graz W hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gintra-Universitetas W 3-5 Sturm Graz W.
The market prices GIN at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Sturm Graz W: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
