Nardò v Martina Franca: the model read
Nardò meet Martina Franca in the Serie D - Girone H group h - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Martina Franca, 65% against 55%. Attacking output favors Martina Franca on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.
Nardò arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Martina Franca, W 2-1 @ Ischia, D 0-0 v Melfi, D 1-1 @ Ebolitana.
Martina Franca are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Nardò, L 1-2 v Virtus Francavilla, W 2-1 @ Real Normanna, W 2-0 v Real Forio 2014.
Martina Franca hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nardò 0-3 Martina Franca.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
