Club Nacional v Progreso: the model read
Club Nacional meet Progreso in the Primera División clausura - 3 at Gran Parque Central, Montevideo.
Club Nacional rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Club Nacional, 50% against 25%. Attacking output favors Club Nacional on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Club Nacional at 59%; double chance reads Club Nacional or draw 72%, Progreso or draw 60%.
Club Nacional arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Progreso, L 0-2 @ Racing Montevideo, L 1-2 v Boston River, W 2-1 v Progreso.
Progreso are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Club Nacional, L 0-2 v Deportivo Maldonado, L 0-1 @ Central Espanol, L 1-2 @ Club Nacional.
Club Nacional hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Club Nacional 1-0 Progreso.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
