Union Comercio v Carlos A. Mannucci

Union Comercio meet Carlos A. Mannucci in the Segunda División regular season - 15 at Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia, Tarapoto.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors Union Comercio on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Union Comercio at 60%; double chance reads Union Comercio or draw 73%, Carlos A. Mannucci or draw 60%.

Union Comercio arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Carlos A. Mannucci, W 2-1 @ Molinos El Pirata, W 4-0 v Academia Cantolao, D 0-0 @ Cesar Vallejo.

Carlos A. Mannucci are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Academia Cantolao, D 0-0 @ Union Comercio, L 0-1 v Cesar Vallejo, W 2-0 v Deportiva Agropecuaria.

Carlos A. Mannucci hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 5 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Union Comercio 0-0 Carlos A. Mannucci.

The market prices UNI at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Carlos A. Mannucci: a 9.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.