Harkemase Boys v Excelsior '31: the model read
Harkemase Boys meet Excelsior '31 in the KNVB Beker 1st preliminary round at De Bosk, Harkema.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Harkemase Boys, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors Excelsior '31 on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Harkemase Boys at 53%; double chance reads Harkemase Boys or draw 67%, Excelsior '31 or draw 62%.
Harkemase Boys arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ DVS 33 Ermelo, W 2-1 v Hollandia, W 4-1 v Sportlust '46, L 0-4 @ Hercules.
Excelsior '31 are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Staphorst, W 4-0 v Eemdijk, W 2-1 @ URK, W 3-1 v Staphorst.
Harkemase Boys hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Excelsior '31 0-1 Harkemase Boys.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
