Where the market is wrong on Nordia Jerusalem v Hapoel Hadera
Nordia Jerusalem meet Hapoel Hadera in the Liga Alef south - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Hapoel Hadera, 35% against 13%. Attacking output favors Hapoel Hadera on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Nordia Jerusalem arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Hapoel Hadera, L 0-1 @ Ironi Beit Shemesh, L 1-3 v FC Jerusalem, L 1-3 @ Hapoel Herzliya.
Hapoel Hadera are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Nordia Jerusalem, D 1-1 v Maccabi Ashdod, W 1-0 @ Kfar Saba 1928, D 2-2 v Shimshon Tel Aviv.
Hapoel Hadera hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nordia Jerusalem 0-4 Hapoel Hadera.
The market prices NOR at 20% implied. Our number sits apart on Nordia Jerusalem: a 9.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
