Where the market is wrong on Chelsea U21 v Fulham U21
Chelsea U21 meet Fulham U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One regular season at Cobham Training Centre, Cobham.
The baseline ratings are close, 1625 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Chelsea U21, 66% against 50%. Attacking output favors Chelsea U21 on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.1 per match.
Chelsea U21 arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 15 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Fulham U21, L 1-2 @ Wycombe, W 4-1 @ Arsenal U21, W 5-4 v West Ham United U21.
Fulham U21 are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-6 @ Leicester, L 1-3 @ Chelsea U21, D 3-3 v Aston Villa U21, L 1-2 @ Braintree.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chelsea U21 3-1 Fulham U21.
The market prices CHE at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Fulham U21: a 8.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
