TOGB v Noordwijk: the model read
TOGB meet Noordwijk in the Derde Divisie regular season - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 55%. Attacking output favors Noordwijk on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Noordwijk at 56%; double chance reads TOGB or draw 60%, Noordwijk or draw 68%.
TOGB arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Poortugaal, D 1-1 @ UNA, L 0-4 @ FC Lisse, L 0-3 @ Excelsior Maassluis.
Noordwijk are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Achilles Veen, W 2-0 v Blauw Geel, L 2-3 v De Treffers, L 1-2 v TOGB.
Noordwijk hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Noordwijk 1-2 TOGB.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
