Mercadal v Arenal: the model read
Mercadal meet Arenal in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 group 11 - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mercadal, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors Mercadal on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Mercadal arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Arenal, W 2-0 @ Inter Ibiza, D 1-1 v Formentera, W 3-2 v Alcúdia.
Arenal are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Mercadal, L 1-2 v Alcúdia, L 0-3 @ Constància, L 0-3 @ Llosetense.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mercadal 1-2 Arenal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
