Where the market is wrong on Winterthur II v Freienbach
Winterthur II meet Freienbach in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 group 3 - 7.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 40%. Attacking output favors Winterthur II on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Winterthur II arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Freienbach, L 0-1 @ Widnau, L 0-1 @ Collina d'Oro, W 2-1 v Mendrisio.
Freienbach are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Winterthur II, W 3-1 v Collina d'Oro, L 0-2 @ Mendrisio, D 3-3 v Kosova.
Winterthur II hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Winterthur II 3-2 Freienbach.
The market prices WIN at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
