Crotone v Salernitana: the model read
Crotone meet Salernitana in the Serie C - Girone C girone c - 7 at Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Salernitana, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Salernitana on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Crotone arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Salernitana, D 2-2 @ SS Monopoli, L 0-2 v Inter U23, D 1-1 @ Savoia.
Salernitana are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Crotone, W 1-0 v Giugliano, D 1-1 @ Barletta, W 4-2 v Potenza.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Crotone 2-1 Salernitana.
The market prices CRO at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
