Where the market is wrong on Renate v Treviso
Renate meet Treviso in the Serie C - Girone A girone a - 7 at Mino Favini, Meda.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Renate on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Renate arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Treviso, L 1-2 @ Arzignano Valchiampo, D 0-0 v Dolomiti Bellunesi, D 2-2 @ Lumezzane.
Treviso are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Renate, D 0-0 v Desenzano Calvina, D 2-2 @ Union Brescia, W 2-1 v PRO Vercelli.
Treviso hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Renate 0-1 Treviso.
The market prices REN at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Treviso: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
