Where the market is wrong on Al Diriyah v Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Diriyah meet Al-Qadisiyah FC in the Pro League regular season - 5 at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh.
The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 75%. Attacking output favors Al-Qadisiyah FC on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.3 per match.
Al Diriyah arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Al-Ettifaq, D 1-1 v Al Kholood, W 1-0 @ Al-Hazm, L 1-4 v Al-Nassr.
Al-Qadisiyah FC are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Al-Faisaly FC, W 2-0 @ NEOM, L 0-1 v Al-Ittihad FC, W 5-0 @ Al Taee.
The market prices AL at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on Al Diriyah: a 15.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
