Avellino v Palermo: the model read
Avellino meet Palermo in the Serie B regular season - 4 at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Palermo, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Palermo on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Palermo at 57%; double chance reads Avellino or draw 60%, Palermo or draw 70%.
Avellino arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Vicenza Virtus, L 1-2 v Arezzo, L 0-3 @ Monza, D 1-1 v Torino.
Palermo are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Arezzo, W 1-0 v Juve Stabia, W 2-0 v Lecce, L 0-2 @ Juventus.
Palermo hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Palermo 2-0 Avellino.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
